Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.912561e-05 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000111
2024-12-29 3.838019e-05 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000090 0.000108 0.000130
2025-01-05 3.102087e-05 0.000042 0.000056 0.000073 0.000093 0.000117 0.000146
2025-01-12 2.497914e-05 0.000037 0.000052 0.000071 0.000095 0.000123 0.000158
2025-01-19 1.991433e-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000067 0.000094 0.000126 0.000168
2025-01-26 1.631792e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000065 0.000094 0.000131 0.000178
2025-02-02 1.468633e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000067 0.000100 0.000141 0.000196
2025-02-09 1.265376e-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000067 0.000102 0.000148 0.000209
2025-02-16 1.208244e-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000071 0.000110 0.000162 0.000232
2025-02-23 1.047157e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000112 0.000168 0.000244
2025-03-02 8.446408e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000067 0.000110 0.000168 0.000250
2025-03-09 7.019791e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000066 0.000110 0.000171 0.000258
2025-03-16 5.669434e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000111 0.000177 0.000271
2025-03-23 4.607832e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000113 0.000183 0.000285
2025-03-30 3.710062e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000063 0.000114 0.000189 0.000299
2025-04-06 2.845602e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000060 0.000114 0.000192 0.000309
2025-04-13 2.076496e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000058 0.000112 0.000193 0.000316
2025-04-20 1.553650e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000111 0.000196 0.000325
2025-04-27 1.364928e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000058 0.000117 0.000207 0.000347
2025-05-04 1.085674e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000119 0.000214 0.000363
2025-05-11 1.044609e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000231 0.000392
2025-05-18 8.210135e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000061 0.000129 0.000237 0.000407
2025-05-25 5.470370e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000058 0.000126 0.000236 0.000412